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American Airlines Boeing 777-300ER Route Prediction

American Airlines Boeing 777-300ER

American Airlines is reducing first class seat availability from its New York John F. Kennedy International Airport (JFK) to London Heathrow Airport (LHR) route starting in December 2015 prior to Christmas. Refer to our coverage here. In this post, we will continue the discussion and follow where these Boeing 777-300ER will go next.

Details

Production Information

For an introduction of Boeing’s current high volume / high capacity aircraft 777-300ER, refer to this link for more information.

This aircraft is the first to enter into service by a US based airline (December 2012 – refer to the news release for information). American Airlines ordered 20 of them to be delivered between 2012 to 2016. As the following infographic showed the first and last delivered aircraft. There are still three more to be delivered with one (Fin Number: N734AR) in production. The other two (N735AT and N736AT) are scheduled to be produced at Boeing’s plant in Everett, Washington sometime in 2016.

American Airlines Boeing 777-300ER Fleet
American Airlines Boeing 777-300ER Fleet – Information taken from airline’s website on July 14, 2015 (All Rights Reserved)

Current Routes

American Airlines serves the following flight pairs with its Boeing 777-300ERs (Daily flights unless indicated with “x” – example x2 = twice daily):

American Airlines Current Boeing 777-300ER Routes
American Airlines Current Boeing 777-300ER Routes – Information taken from Flightaware.com and airline’s website on July 15, 2015 (All Rights Reserved)

From Dallas Forth-Worth International Airport (DFW):

  • Hong Kong International Airport (HKG)
  • São Paulo – Guarulhos International Airport (GRU)
  • London Heathrow Airport (LHR)
  • Miami International Airport (MIA) – position flight
  • Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) – position flight

From Miami International Airport (MIA):

  • São Paulo – Guarulhos International Airport (GRU)
  • London Heathrow Airport (LHR)
  • Dallas Forth-Worth International Airport (DFW)

From New York John F. Kennedy Airport (JFK):

  • São Paulo – Guarulhos International Airport (GRU)
  • London Heathrow Airport (LHR) x 3

From Los Angeles International Airport (LAX):

  • São Paulo – Guarulhos International Airport (GRU)
  • London Heathrow Airport (LHR) x 2
  • Miami International Airport (MIA) – position flight

Future Announced Routes

As announced by the airline back in June 2015, it will begin operations from its hub at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) to its oneworld partner Qantas Airways (QF)’ main hub in Sydney Airport (SYD), Australia (refer to the news release for more information).  In return, QF will move of its LAX daily flight to start a new route from SYD to San Francisco International Airport (SFO).

For AA, they are likely going to take over QF 17/18 which will leave the airline with enough time to use the aircraft (the inbound flight lands in Los Angeles at around 1415) for its second London flight leaving at 1940 daily.

Analysis

By transferring two aircrafts to commerce operations between LAX and SYD, American Airlines may be stretched to start additional international flights until 2016 with this aircraft.  However, by the end of 2016, its remaining three orders will be delivered which will provide utilization space for AA to announce new routes.

Here is a list of possible options:

1. Add back first class capacity between JFK and LHR that it removed to start the SYD route

2. Start a new route between its hub cities to Abu Dhabi International Airport (AUH).  This will supplement the flights offered by its codeshare partner Etihad Airways (EY) – except for MIA which EY does not serve currently). AA has many flights to Europe but depends on its partners there for transfer to Africa and South/ Southwest Asia (India, Singapore, Thailand). By creating its own direct flight to AUH, it can transfer passengers to cities in that region.  At the same time, it would curb EY from introducing additional frequencies to its various US hub cities.  Additional, AUH has a pre-clearance facility available for all US bound passengers. This will make travelling easier (refer to our coverage of pre-clearance facilities here).

American Airlines Future 777-300ER Route Prediction Part 1
American Airlines Future 777-300ER Route Prediction Part 1 – Prediction is based on analysis completed by Experience The Skies and does not express the airline’s strategy and opinion.

This option is also available to connect AA with its oneworld partner Qatar Airways with hub at Hamad International Airport (DOH) (refer to our coverage of this airport here).

Although there are some on-going challenges between the US and Middle East over subsidies, this should not deter AA from starting new routes as it has done with EY over the past 6 months (refer to an example of its continued EY partnership here – July 9, 2015).

3. South African Airways (SA) and Delta Air Lines are the only two airlines with direct flights between South Africa to the US from Johannesburg (JNB).  As such, there may be an opportunity for AA to consider starting a new route to either JNB or Cape Town (CPT) from its hubs at JFK or MIA. This will save a significant amount of travel time for its passengers to South Africa instead of relying on a transfer from LHR.

Where would you like to see AA fly with its Boeing 777-300ER? Use the comment section below to voice your wishlist.

 

20 thoughts on “American Airlines Boeing 777-300ER Route Prediction

  1. Qatar and AA HATE each other … I don’t think we will see any route to DOH anytime soon

    1. They definitely do not have the best working relationship. That is why going to AUH makes more sense from a cooperation perspective.

    1. Jawnbc, there is definitely some opportunities going to CPT as well. Cape Town metro and greater Cape Town area have about 1M and 4M people respectively. From the alliance airlines perspective, only SA and BA operate flights between CPT and JNB. It would be more beneficial for airlines to have 5th freedom rights to pick up passengers from these two cities.

  2. Suppose it’s perfect timing for QR to move into the soon-to-be-vacated UA gates at JFK T7 (with fellow IAG partners); they and AA have enmity and AA “won’t give them space for A350s at JFK”.

  3. MIA-JNB would be a great route for AA or JFK to JNB or even DFW to JNB. This would allow any One World alliance fliers in North America to bypass LHR /Europe or the middle east to get to the African Continent.

    1. They would be great routes to utilize the 777-300ERs. There are also rumors swirling around for AA to introduce LAX-HKG flights in the near future.

  4. I’m on the two class LHR-JFK now. They’ve got to use the new planes on this route; switching to two class will have knock-on effects for some of their high revenue customers. London – New York has long been a premier route for AA, with this change, it is no longer so.

  5. Would love to see Charlotte Douglas get a route using the 777 even if it’s only to Europe but some where in Asia or Hawaii non-stop would be great it would get the support needed for the route.

    1. While Charlotte Douglas may not be a top priority for the time being, the US South region continues to enjoy some of the highest population growth. CLT along with Miami International Airport may experience some additional capacity addition. American Airlines is close to announcing a new Los Angeles to Hong Kong route. It may be using a 777-300ER for it.

    1. I noticed that too. We are booked on this flight from ORD to LHR on 9/26/2016. The original flight was on a 767. Very happy about this change. It is only March 2016 at the time of this post. Hope they don’t change it back!

  6. I actually booked a ticket on a 77w for Fall 2016 from MIA to MXP but then they changed it to the 767 that normally flies this route. Talk about a downgrade from First on a 77W layflat to a 767 with angled flat in business.

    1. That’s unfortunate. You will likely be on a Boeing 767-300. Hopefully, you could be on one that was retrofitted (chances are not high though).

      1. Actually there is one that’s retrofitted. I’ve flown on a Boeing 767-300ER Revisions version one from JFK-ORD after we went from a nice upgrade equipment that was suppose to be a Boeing 737-800 there and the B 767-300ER Revisioned with winglets had the layflat chairs in firstclass which I flown in and it was a nice experience even though it was only a 2 hour flight.

  7. AA would like to new introduce JFK to HKG because many popular visit to HK , China and Thailand another partner place in any Asia. Cathay Pacific JFK to HKG 5 flights daily

  8. Well AA needs more than just direct flights in Asia they are lacking in having a hub in Nrt or HKg to continue there customers on flights to other Asian countries like Thailand Singapore ect. AA is the only airline that does not have this Delta and United are way ahead of AA in this. A direct flight to THAILAND or Singapore would be great from LAX since all other airlines have given up there slots at LAX for direct flights to these locations.

  9. MIA (or FLL) to CPT would be great! Daily flights are availble from JFK – JNB and IAD – JNB for passengers living north. MIA-CPT would be a popular route for passengers living south and/or west and make travel time shorter.

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